Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.016114 0.020122 0.025370 0.032965 0.044076 0.060457 0.088011
2025-01-19 0.011886 0.016392 0.023244 0.035206 0.057591 0.103335 0.227346
2025-01-26 0.010058 0.014831 0.022893 0.039136 0.076653 0.183073 0.725474
2025-02-02 0.008879 0.013779 0.022772 0.043225 0.100717 0.334850 3.724375
2025-02-09 0.007671 0.012308 0.021300 0.043560 0.116239 0.526265 36.765687
2025-02-16 0.006783 0.011187 0.020135 0.044000 0.133728 0.861340 NaN
2025-02-23 0.006066 0.010231 0.019026 0.044029 0.150977 1.442460 NaN
2025-03-02 0.005342 0.009129 0.017311 0.041493 0.153849 1.988822 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004824 0.008360 0.016191 0.040338 0.163676 3.191903 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004491 0.007920 0.015751 0.041255 0.189351 7.607165 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004176 0.007470 0.015184 0.041496 0.212856 21.617726 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003809 0.006860 0.014092 0.039324 0.213602 42.238295 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003482 0.006343 0.013267 0.038380 0.230982 331.634407 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003313 0.006158 0.013305 0.041149 0.304288 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.003213 0.006113 0.013718 0.046042 0.452090 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003114 0.006053 0.014075 0.051179 0.692769 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002925 0.005746 0.013607 0.051601 0.844499 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002760 0.005477 0.013197 0.052157 1.046638 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002604 0.005212 0.012744 0.052193 1.269449 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002415 0.004841 0.011874 0.048997 1.243842 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002270 0.004572 0.011301 0.047548 1.353155 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002176 0.004424 0.011114 0.048699 1.797120 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002079 0.004256 0.010828 0.049001 2.272765 NaN NaN